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Prediction for CME (2013-08-30T02:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-08-30T02:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/3209/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-09-02T01:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Dst min. in nT: -22
Dst min. time: 2013-09-02T19:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-08-31T17:59Z (-10.0h, +10.0h)
Prediction Method: STOA
Prediction Method Note:

On Aug 30, 2013, at 3:12 PM, Murray Dryer wrote:
Learmonth metric Type II, Vs = 1318 km/s estimated for subject flare at 0212UT. Kevin Schenk reports asymmetric Halo CME with LASCO's C2 and C3 average Vcme = 1070.9 km/s. Prompt (moderate) SEP at ACE.
 
STOA predicts western flank of shock arrival on 31 August 2013, 1759 UT +/-10 hr.
 
Murray

Lead Time: 54.30 hour(s)
Difference: 31.52 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-08-30T19:12Z

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